中国省区现代化水平及进程测度研究  

Research on Provincial Modernization Levels and its Processes Measurement in China

作　　者：刘耀彬[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]南昌大学经济与管理学院,江西南昌330031 [2]华中科技大学公共管理学院,湖北武汉430074

出　　处：《科技进步与对策》2008年第6期91-94,共4页Science & Technology Progress and Policy

基　　金：中国博士后基金项目(20060400249);江西省教育科学“十一五”规划项目(06YB189)

摘　　要：在构建现代化水平评价指标体系和信号指标体系的基础上,利用模糊聚类方法对中国31个省区的现代化水平进行了归类,并结合信号指标对其现代化进程进行了比较分析。研究显示:中国省区现代化水平存在着明显的区域性和地带性差异,有着沿点和沿线的分布格局。经济发展水平、城市化水平与省区现代化水平高度正相关,反映二者是推动中国现代化进程至关重要的因素。以农业增加值占GDP比重为表征的省区现代化进程,明显快于以农业劳动力占总劳动力比重现代化进程。这揭示出目前中国省区现代化进程主要还是以劳动密集型和资金密集型为主要推动力的,技术和知识密集的作用还相当滞后。With the index system of modernization level and signal indexes of modernization process built ,the 31 provinces with different modernization processes have been compared through the signal indexds.The results show：firstly,there exists regional and zonal differences for the provincial modernization levels to distribute,where the distributions of the modernization levels are along points and lines;Secondly,there are significantly positive correlations between the provincial modernization levels and the economic growth and urbanization,which explains that it by the weight of agricultural values to GDP is quicker than by the weight of agricultural labors to the total labors ,which reveal that the provincial modernization process mainly results from the driving of labor-intensive forces and capital-intensive forces ,but not from that of technology and dnowledge.

关 键 词：现代化水平 现代化进程 模糊隶属度函数 模糊聚类 

分 类 号：F124.1[经济管理—世界经济]