通货膨胀与我国经济增长及波动的相关性分析  

Relationship between the inflation and economic growth & fluctuation in China

作　　者：张海燕[1] 刘盈[1] 

机构地区：[1]长春工业大学基础科学学院,吉林长春130012

出　　处：《长春工业大学学报》2008年第3期292-297,共6页Journal of Changchun University of Technology

基　　金：吉林省教育厅基金资助项目(吉教科文合字[2006]第101号)

摘　　要：通过趋势分解和条件异方差方法检验并描述了通货膨胀与我国经济增长及波动之间的关系,发现我国自20世纪90年代以来通货膨胀与经济增长之间有着非常显著的相互的正向影响关系,而经济波动与通货膨胀之间并没有直接的相互影响关系。验证了我国实施通货紧缩政策的正确性和有效性。Relationship between inflation and economic growth and fluctuation in China, described with H-P filter and conditional variance methods, is studied and the results show that the inflation is positively influenced by the economic growth while no direct relationship between the inflation and economic fluctuation 90s in 20 century. It is proved that China＇s deflation policy is correct and effective.

关 键 词：通货膨胀 经济增长 经济周期 条件波动性 

分 类 号：F037.1[经济管理—政治经济学]