外商直接投资与中国经济增长的相关性分析  

A correlation analysis between the foreign direct investment and the Chinese economy growth

作　　者：庄宇[1] 何卉[1] 马贤娣[1] 

机构地区：[1]西北工业大学管理学院,西安710072

出　　处：《现代制造工程》2008年第8期41-44,共4页Modern Manufacturing Engineering

基　　金：陕西省哲学社会科学规划基金项目(04D004Z)

摘　　要：根据我国1985年至2004年20年来的统计数据,研究了经济增长与吸引外资的相互关系,运用自回归理论和社会科学统计软件(Statistical Package for the Social Science,SPSS)分析了国内生产总值(GDP)和外商直接投资(FDI)的相互作用,构建和选取了自回归模型,从模型计算结果可知两者存在很好的相关性,相关系数R的值等于0.90;国内生产总值的增长对吸引外商直接投资的贡献率为47.3%;模型不仅通过了一阶自相关性检验,有效地解决了一阶自相关性问题,而且可有效预测我国吸引外商直接投资的规模。Studies relationship between our country economy growth and attracting the foreign capital for more than 20 years according to the statistical data of China from 1985 to 2004. Analyzed the mutual function between the GDP and the FDI through using the auto regression model and the SPSS software. It is known that there is very good correlation between them and the R value is equal to 0. 90 from the computed result. The contribution rate is 47. 3% from the GDP growth to attract the foreign direct investment. The model not only solutes the autocorrelation problem effectively through the first order autocorrelation test, but may effectively forecast the scale that our country attracts the foreign direct investment.

关 键 词：经济增长 外商直接投资 自回归模型 相关性分析 

分 类 号：F832[经济管理—金融学]