城市交通一卡通方案的系统决策方法研究  

System Decision Making Method of One Transit Smart Card Scheme

作　　者：张宁[1] 高朝晖[1] 何铁军[1] 杨利强[1] 

机构地区：[1]东南大学教育部智能运输系统研究中心,南京210096

出　　处：《武汉理工大学学报（交通科学与工程版）》2008年第4期727-730,共4页Journal of Wuhan University of Technology（Transportation Science & Engineering）

基　　金：江苏省科技攻关重大项目(批准号:BE2006010);南京市科技发展计划重大项目(批准号:200601001);南京地下铁道工程建设指挥部专项科技项目(批准号:8550143007)资助

摘　　要：在制定城市公共交通一卡多用系统远景、使命、长期目标的基础上,对某城市公交AFC系统进行环境分析、战略匹配,并用定量战略规划矩阵进行宏观战略决策,表明交通一卡通方案应采取W-O战略,即适时技术改造原有公交AFC系统以适应系统的长远发展.在总体战略思想指导下提出了可行的技术方案集,运用模糊评价方法对技术方案进行微观评价,得出公交AFC系统升级改造,逐步换卡的方案为最优方案.Based on the definition of vision, mission and long term objective of multipurpose smart card systems, the environment analysis and strategic matching are performed to bus AFC system already existed in some city. Then macro strategic decision-making is carried out by QSPM. The result indicates that one transit smart card scheme in that city should adopt W-O strategy ： the original bus AFC system should be upgraded to accommodate to the system＇s long-range development. Guided by the macro strategy, the feasible technical schemes are brought forward and micro-evaluated by fuzzy method. The results show that upgrade of bus AFC system by stepwise transferring original smart card is the best scheme.

关 键 词：城市交通 一卡多用系统 AFC系统 决策 

分 类 号：U491[交通运输工程—交通运输规划与管理]