武汉市城区大气环境质量现状及趋势研究  

Study on the present situation and tendency of atmospheric environmental quality in Wuhan city proper.

作　　者：洪松[1] 王少平[1] 吴胜军[1] 郑泽厚[1] 田献民 王文革 

机构地区：[1]湖北大学生态学研究所 [2]武汉市环境保护科学研究所 [3]湖北省环境保护局

出　　处：《中国环境科学》1998年第1期76-82,共7页China Environmental Science

摘　　要：对武汉市７城区１９９１～１９９５年间的大气环境质量进行分析评价，并通过模式计算污染物的多年平均地面浓度分布。在此基础上，运用等维灰数递补技术预测大气质量的变化趋势并进行预评价。结果表明，武汉市城区大气ＳＯ２浓度逐年下降，ＴＳＰ浓度基本持平，煤烟型污染将有所改善。但石油燃料燃烧排放的ＮＯＸ将有显著增加，整个大气环境质量仍呈下降趋势。We analyzed and assessed the atmospheric environmental quality in Wuhan city proper and also calculated perennial average ground level concentration during 1991～1995 by model.On the basis of aforementioned works,we used Grey System theory to forecast concentration changes in later years of 3 major pollutants:SO 2,NO X and TSP.The result of our research shows that the SO 2 concentration in Wuhan proper’s atmosphere tend to descend year after year,and the TSP concentration will have no changes approximately.So,the coal smoke pollution in Wuhan will improve somewhat.But NO X,which is exhausted chiefly by automobiles,will have a outstanding increase.To sum up,the whole atmospheric environmental quality still tend to decline.

关 键 词：武汉市 大气环境质量 模糊聚类 大气扩散 

分 类 号：X823[环境科学与工程—环境工程]