生态足迹模型的争论与发展  

Debate and development of ecological footprint model during the last 10 years

作　　者：陈成忠[1] 林振山[2] 

机构地区：[1]湖北师范学院地理科学系,湖北黄石435002 [2]南京师范大学地理科学学院,江苏南京210046

出　　处：《生态学报》2008年第12期6252-6263,共12页Acta Ecologica Sinica

基　　金：国家自然基金资助项目(40371044);国家"211"二期工程重大资助项目~~

摘　　要：生态足迹模型自William Rees 1992年提出、Mathis Wackernagel 1996年推广应用以来,在众多研究者的质疑和争论中不断发展、完善。目前,国内已有许多综述文章详细介绍了其理论假设、基本概念、计算方法、实证应用、一些缺陷改进等。在这些综述成果基础上,结合近2～3年的研究新进展,概括了10a来对其理论假设、均衡因子、产量因子、计算方法、过于静态性、缺乏预测性、结论单一性等方面存在的主要争论,聚焦了在概念发展、计算方法、均衡因子、产量因子、应用领域、时间序列、非线性科学研究方法、与其他社会经济指标相结合等方面进行的改进及发展,并指出今后生态足迹模型研究将要在计算方法改进、加强实践操作及市场化运作、与可持续发展政策的有机联系、与非线性科学研究方法相结合、长时间序列动态评估、单项指标等方面取得重要进展。这些争论、改进的综述及发展方向的提出,目的在于引发国内对生态足迹模型研究的新思考,推动生态足迹模型理论的进一步完善和发展。As a bio-physical quantitative assessment tool to estimate the sustainable utilization of natural resources, the ecological footprint model was proposed in 1992 by William Rees and developed in 1996 by Mathis Wackernagel. Many researchers put forward lots of suspicions and debates about its theoretic hypotheses, basic concepts, calculated methods, et al. , which then help to improve and perfect the model itself. At present, many research about the ecological footprint model have been carried out in China. In these research papers, there are many debates about its theoretic hypotheses, equivalence factor, yield factor, calculated methods, over being static, lacking of prediction, and singularity of the results. Also, there are many improvements such as its concepts, calculated methods, equivalence factor, yield factor, long time series, integrating nonlinear scientific methods or other social and economic indices, et al. This paper focus on these debates and improvements of the ecological footprint model during the last 10 years. At last, several prospects are given to which the ecological footprint model will be applied, i.e. its calculated methods, and taking into account sustainble development policies. We must improve the ecological footprint model＇s calculated methods and increase the application of ecological footprint method in environmental, social and economic study fields in China.

关 键 词：生态足迹模型 研究方法 缺陷 发展改进 

分 类 号：X22[环境科学与工程—环境科学]