矩阵博弈模型在投标报价中的应用  

Application of Matrix Game Model to Bidding Price

作　　者：姜国辉 孙仕军[1] 李玉清[1] 李雷 

机构地区：[1]沈阳农业大学水利学院,沈阳110161 [2]辽宁水利土木咨询有限公司,沈阳110003

出　　处：《中国农村水利水电》2009年第2期98-101,共4页China Rural Water and Hydropower

基　　金：国家自然科学基金(50779052);辽宁省自然科学基金(2006210)

摘　　要：针对施工企业在不了解竞争对手历史资料的情况下,提出采用复合标底矩阵博弈模型进行投标报价。该模型不需要收集更多对手的信息,它是将投标报价在一定范围内,按一定步长取得相应的有限多个具体报价,通过博弈矩阵分析计算报价的误差,最终确定报价。在大伙房输水工程投标中,应用复合标底矩阵博弈模型进行投标报价测算,揭标后模型测算报价与实际最优报价的准确率为97.2%,表明复合标底矩阵博弈模型能够准确预测复合标底价格,为施工单位投标报价起到很好的指导作用。The adoption of compound base bid price matrix game model is proposed under the condition that the construction company has no knowledge of competitors＇ historical information. In this model no more competitors＇ information is needed. It takes the corresponding limited actual prices from the bid prices within certain range and with certain step length and uses the game matrix to confirm the final bid price through analyzing the error of bidding. For the bidding of Dahuofang water transferring project, the compound base bid price matrix game model is used to calculate the bid price. The result of the bid opening shows that the price calculated by the model is 97.2% the same with the actual optimal bid price, which proves that the compound base bid price matrix game model can calculate the compound base hid price accurately and is a good instruction for construction companies to carry out other bidding work.

关 键 词：复合标底 博弈 投标 矩阵 

分 类 号：TV512[水利工程—水利水电工程]