一类非正态误差下的AR模型定阶研究  

Research on AR Model Order Determination in a Class of Non-normal Errors

作　　者：李晓明[1] 许世蒙[1] 马润波[1] 

机构地区：[1]装甲兵工程学院基础部

出　　处：《装甲兵工程学院学报》2009年第1期87-90,共4页Journal of Academy of Armored Force Engineering

摘　　要：对一类非正态误差的AR模型，在待定阶数P的情况下，给出误差项中未知实函数依概率有界的定理，可把非正态误差转化为正态情况。最后运用正态误差下AR模型的方法确定阶数和参数，并给出一个算例。For the AR model of a class of non-normal errors, in the case of p-order to be determined, we propose a theorem that the unknown function in errors is probability bounded. Under certain conditions the non-normal error can be turned into a normal situation. Finally, the AR model in normal errors is used to determine the order and parameter, and an example is given.

关 键 词：AR模型 误差 非正态 定阶 依概率有界 

分 类 号：O212[理学—概率论与数理统计]