工作者通勤出行活动模式的选择行为  

Activity Pattern Choice of Work Commuting Trip by Workers

作　　者：杨敏[1] 王炜[1] 陈学武[1] 万涛[1] 上官鹏程[1] 

机构地区：[1]东南大学江苏省交通规划与管理重点实验室,江苏南京210096

出　　处：《西南交通大学学报》2009年第2期274-279,共6页Journal of Southwest Jiaotong University

基　　金：国家自然科学基金重点项目(50738001);国家973计划项目(2006CB705501);新世纪优秀人才支持计划项目(NCET-06-0463)

摘　　要：用基于活动的出行需求理论分析出行行为,建立了工作者通勤出行活动模式选择行为模型.采用多项Logistic方法研究了1 695个样本的个体特征和家庭特征对4种典型出行模式(HWH+,HW+WH,HWHWH,HWH)选择行为的影响,其中HWH+表示上下班途中有其他停留,HW+WH表示工作中外出(不含回家)并返回单位,HWHWH表示工作中回家并返回单位,HWH表示工作中无外出模式.结果表明,以HWH为参照,女性及家庭工作人数多的个体较多选择HWH+模式;私营及个体职业者、受教育程度高及有驾照的个体较多选择HW+WH模式;工人、服务员、职员以及年龄40岁以上、家庭中高收入、居住在中心区的个体较多选择HWHWH模式.Models describing activity patterns of work commuting trips by workers were established based on activity-based travel demand analysis theory. Muhinomial logistic method was adopted to analyze the effects of socio-demographics of individuals/households on their choices of four typical activity patterns, i.e. , HWH ＋, HW ＋ WH, HWHWH and HWH, where HWH ＋ is defined as the trip with at least one additional stop for a nonwork activity, HW ＋ WH means that there is at least one short leave for a nonwork activity during working time, HWHWH at least a short leave for home during working time, and HWH presents that there is not any other activity during working time. The analysis indicates that, compared to HWH, females and households with more working members are prone to choose the HWH ＋ pattern; the self-employed and those with higher education and with driving licenses prefer the HW ＋ WH pattern ; and blue/white collar workers and employees in service trade, as well as those over 40 years old, with high family income and dwelling in downtowns, are more likely to chose the HWHWH pattern.

关 键 词：通勤出行 活动模式 多项Logistic回归模型 发生比率 

分 类 号：U491[交通运输工程—交通运输规划与管理]