浙江农村居民收入与生活消费支出的动态关系研究  

The Dynamic Relationship between the Revenue and Consumption of the Rural Resident in Zhejiang

作　　者：陈华丽[1] 钱林波[2] 

机构地区：[1]上海师范大学商学院,上海200234 [2]浙江大学环境与资源学院,浙江杭州310029

出　　处：《乡镇经济》2009年第4期82-86,共5页Rural Economy

摘　　要：文章在凯恩斯消费函数的基础上,利用协整理论,采用1978-2007年的年度统计数据,深入探讨了浙江农村居民收入与生活消费支出的动态相关性。基于邹至庄检验结果,分别对1978-1989年和1990-2007年两个时期收入—消费关系进行协整检验,得出两者之间存在着长期稳定均衡关系的结论,由此对收入与消费建立误差修正模型。实证分析的结果表明浙江农村居民收入和生活消费支出之间存在动态均衡机制。This article explores the dynamic relationship between the revenue and consumption of the rural resident in Zhejiang, by virtue of Keynesian consumption function, using annual statistics during 1978-2007. Based on Chow test results, we do co-integration test for 1990-2007 and 1978-1989 separately, and reach the conclusion that the long-term relations between the two are stable and balanced. Then establish the error correction model. The empirical analysis shows that the income and the consumption of rural residents in Zhejiang Province existing dynamic balance mechanism.

关 键 词：收入 消费 邹至庄检验 协整检验 误差修正模型 

分 类 号：F323.8[经济管理—产业经济]