综合利用水库工程方案评价的集对分析法  

A Set Pair Analysis for Evaluating on Comprehensive Reservoir Project Schemes

作　　者：赵学敏 胡彩虹[2] 王永新[3] 

机构地区：[1]河南省水利勘测设计研究有限公司,河南郑州450016 [2]郑州大学水利与环境学院,河南郑州450002 [3]黄河勘测规划设计有限公司,河南郑州450003

出　　处：《水力发电》2009年第3期11-13,28,共4页Water Power

摘　　要：在介绍集对分析原理的基础上,提出了基于集对理论的综合利用水库工程方案评价的基本思路,建立了基于变异系数法确定评价指标权重的综合评价模型,并以某综合利用水库为实例进行了验证和探讨,且与人工神经网络和ANFIS模型评价的结果进行了比较。研究结果表明,基于集对分析法的综合利用水库工程方案评价,概念明确、原理直观、计算简单、实用可行;同时,集对分析法与其他方法相比,分析评价结果总体一致,而且能形象地反映关系结构。On the basis of introducing the principles of set pair analysis （SPA）, this paper puts forward a basic approach for evaluating muhipurpose reservoir project based on set pair analysis and establishes relevant SPA evaluation model with model of variation coefficient to calculate the weight of evaluation indices. Taking a muhipurpose reservoir as an example, the application of set pair analysis was discussed and compared with ANN model and ANFIS model. The application results showed that the theory of multipurpose reservoir project evaluation based on set pair analysis method was simple and practical and easy to use. Furthermore its outcomes was consistent with that of other evaluation methods, and SPA method can display the form of relation visually.

关 键 词：综合水库工程 评价指标 集对分析 变异系数 人工神经网络 

分 类 号：TV212[水利工程—水文学及水资源]