模型预测控制策略的供应链库存与生产优化调度方法  

Optimization of supply chain management in inventory & manufactory based on MPC strategy

作　　者：陈文博[1] 杨春节[1] 曹柬[1,2] 何川[1] 

机构地区：[1]浙江大学工业控制研究所,杭州310027 [2]浙江工业大学信息智能与决策优化研究所,杭州310032

出　　处：《现代制造工程》2009年第5期1-5,共5页Modern Manufacturing Engineering

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(60674086);国家863项目(2006AA04Z184);浙江省科技计划项目(2007C21173)

摘　　要：针对供应链管理(SCM)中由于需求波动和"牛鞭效应",导致客户满意度和生产库存成本难以协调的问题,基于流程工业成功应用的模型预测控制(MPC)策略,研究供应链库存与生产调度的综合优化方法,构建相应的优化控制系统,并在某品牌的鲜牛奶供应链案例中进行仿真与分析。结果表明,基于MPC的供应链生产与库存综合优化决策机制,可以有效地抑制"牛鞭效应",在抑制库存大幅波动的同时,达到较好的客户满意度。By reviewing ＂bullwhip effect＂ and demand oscillation existing in the Supply Chain Management （ SCM ）, the coordinate issue between inventory cost and Customer Demand Satisfactory （CDS） is discussed. Then, by introducing the Model Predictive Control（MPC） strategy,and the translation of some concepts in process industrial control into the SCM fields,the optimiza- tion of supply chain network is successfully realized. Further more, a one-product, three-echelon demand network is modeled and simulated later to analyze its performance in the presence of significant uncertainty ,forecast error,and constraints of inventory levels. The result successfully mitigates the ＂bullwhip effect＂ in the supply chain while reducing safety stocks to profitable levels and improving customer demand satisfaction.

关 键 词：供应链 库存优化 生产调度 模型预测控制 

分 类 号：TP391[自动化与计算机技术—计算机应用技术]