基于贝叶斯网络的导弹系统人因可靠性分析  

Evaluation on Personnel Reliability for Missile System Based on Bayesian Network

作　　者：轩永波[1] 黄长强[1] 崔亮[2] 韩统[1] 

机构地区：[1]空军工程大学工程学院 [2]中国人民解放军94857部队

出　　处：《电光与控制》2009年第8期32-35,52,共5页Electronics Optics & Control

基　　金：军队科研项目资助(KJZ07088)

摘　　要：分析了人在回路电视制导导弹系统研究飞行员可靠性的必要性。针对人的可靠性研究行为学策略,建立了飞行员可靠性评估的贝叶斯网络模型。论述了利用该模型进行评估的基本步骤,建立了其评价指标体系,并通过实例对飞行员人因可靠性进行了评估和研究。仿真结果证明了该模型的正确性和有效性,为飞行员发现自身不足提供了理论依据。The importance of study on pilot reliability in man-in-the-loop TV guided missile system is analyzed. We carried out study on behavioristics in connection with the personnel reliability, and established a model for evaluating the pilot reliability based on Bayesian network. The basic procedures of evaluation by using the model was described, the evaluating index system was established, and the pilot reliability was studied and evaluated through actual examples. The result of simulation proved the correctness and validity of the presented model, which also supplies a theoretical reference for pilots to discover their own limitations.

关 键 词：导弹系统 贝叶斯网络 人因可靠性 人在回路 

分 类 号：V271.4[航空宇航科学与技术—飞行器设计] TJ76[兵器科学与技术—武器系统与运用工程]