非常规突发事件应急决策系统动态作用机理  

Dynamic Mechanism of Unconventional Emergency Decision-making System

作　　者：韩传峰[1] 王兴广[1] 孔静静[1] 

机构地区：[1]同济大学城市建设与灾害管理研究所,上海200092

出　　处：《软科学》2009年第8期50-53,共4页Soft Science

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(70640007;70871093);上海市重点学科建设项目(B310)

摘　　要：根据系统科学理论,分析非常规突发事件应急决策系统内部结构;构建SD因果关系模型,研究非常规突发事件应急决策系统各子系统间反馈机制和相互耦合机制以及应急决策动态调整机理;提出非常规突发事件应急决策系统优化建议。Based on the theory of systems science,this paper analyzes structure of unconventional emergency decision-making system and dynamic changing mechanism of emergency decision,and reveals inherent law of the system and subsystems coupling relations by establishing the cause and effect feedback relation SD model.At last,it offers useful suggestions in order to perfect the system of emergency decision-making.

关 键 词：非常规突发事件 应急决策系统 SD模型 动态作用机理 

分 类 号：X4[环境科学与工程—灾害防治]