产业内贸易与经济增长:基于协整关系的分析  

Co-integration Analysis of the Relationship between Intra-industry Trade and GDP in China

作　　者：宣烨[1] 李思慧[1] 

机构地区：[1]南京财经大学国际经贸学院,南京210046

出　　处：《商业研究》2009年第11期122-125,共4页Commercial Research

基　　金：江苏省教育厅课题<外资并购对中国产业发展影响与对策研究>;项目编号:JSD2007091

摘　　要：运用Engle-Granger协整关系检验法和Granger因果关系检验法,利用修正后的产业内贸易指数,对我国1985-2007年间产业内贸易与经济增长之间关系进行实证研究。结果显示这两者之间存在长期稳定的关系,产业内贸易与我国经济增长之间存在双向因果关系,并提出相应的政策建议。The paper based on co - integration test and Granger causality test, makes an empirical analysis of the relationship between intra - industry trade and economic growth in China by using the data between 1985 and 2007. The result shows that there is a long - term equilibrium relationship between them ; Granger causality test shows that there is a bidirectional causality between intra - industry trade and economic growth. At last, the paper puts forward corresponding proposals.

关 键 词：产业内贸易 经济增长 协整检验 GRANGER检验 

分 类 号：F270.7[经济管理—企业管理]