美国次贷危机视角下我国房地产投资风险管理的混沌控制研究  

The Research on the Real Estate Investment Risk Management Based on Chaos Control in the View of U.S. Subprime Mortgage Crisis

作　　者：王松华 

机构地区：[1]上海远程教育集团,上海200433

出　　处：《同济大学学报（社会科学版）》2009年第5期119-124,共6页Journal of Tongji University:Social Science Edition

摘　　要：美国的次贷危机引发的全球经济危机,让我们重新审视我国房地产投资风险管理在金融领域扮演的重要角色,特别对于像中国等发展中国家来说,房地产投资风险管理显得尤为重要,另一方面宏观经济系统普遍存在混沌现象,这种非线性的动力学给予了投资风险管理很大的发展空间,本文在对投资风险管理进行混沌特性分析的基础上,基于房地产市场的投资风险管理进行了混沌控制的实证分析,并对控制变量做动态区间分析,最后提出政策建议。U.S. subprime mortgage crisis has caused the global economic crisis, leading to re-examine the role of the real estate investment risk management in the financial sector. On one hand, we discover that risk management is particularly important, especially in China and other developing countries. On the other hand, chaos phenomenon universally exists in macroscopic economical system. This non-linear dynamics has provided the investment risk management very big development space. After examining the chaos character of investment risk management, the article then gives empirical analysis of investment risk management in real estate. Furthermore, dyna.mic sector analysis is done in the area of controlled variability. Finally, on the basis of all these analyses, it puts forward the policy proposals and suggestions.

关 键 词：混沌 非线性动力学 分岔 周期 

分 类 号：F293[经济管理—国民经济]