全球金融危机与贸易保护主义悖论——基于外贸乘数的视角  

The Global Financial Crisis and the Paradox of Trade Protectionism——From the Perspective of the Foreign Trade Multiplier

作　　者：张东云[1] 

机构地区：[1]河南师范大学经济与管理学院,河南新乡453007

出　　处：《改革与战略》2009年第11期152-154,共3页Reformation & Strategy

基　　金：教育部人文社科研究规划项目(项目编号:08JA790091);河南师范大学青年科学基金项目(项目编号:2008QK32)资助项目

摘　　要：随着金融危机的蔓延,西方发达国家主导的贸易保护主义政策纷纷出台,传统贸易保护主义与新贸易保护主义政策交错,尤以后者更加隐蔽,企图以此刺激国内经济快速复苏。文章建立了基于开放经济条件下的两国贸易模型,模拟分析了政策干预下自主性进口的改变影响均衡国民收入、外贸收支的原理,发现乘数越大的国家在贸易保护战中所受的损失也越大。文章指出,为快速有效的摆脱金融危机的影响,各国应该摒弃贸易保护主义政策,加强国际经济合作与协调。With the fINancial crisis spread quickly, western developed countries had implemented many trade protectionism policies attempting to stimulate the domestic economic recovery, among which are traditional and many undistinguishable new trade protectionism policies. In this paper, we build a two-country-trade model under the open economy. With data simulation, we analyzed how the national income and the balance of trade are influenced by the independent import which is intervened by the government. We discover that the bigger the multiplier the more loss the country will get form the war of trade protectionism. To get out of the financial crisis, every country should stop the trade protectionism policies to increase cooperation.

关 键 词：开放经济 金融危机 新贸易保护主义 外贸乘数 

分 类 号：F741.2[经济管理—国际贸易]