水环境数学模型的不确定性定量研究进展  

Review on the Quantitative Analysis for the Uncertainty in Water Environmental Mathematical Models

作　　者：杨静[1,2] 韩保新[1] 翁士创 孙强[1] 

机构地区：[1]环境保护部华南环境科学研究所,广东广州510655 [2]中山大学环境科学与工程学院,广东广州510275 [3]珠江水资源保护科学研究所,广东广州510611

出　　处：《环境科学与技术》2009年第B12期210-212,共3页Environmental Science & Technology

摘　　要：如何认识水环境数学模型的不确定性并对其进行定量评价已经成为目前水环境模型研究的一个热门和前沿问题。文章围绕水环境数学模型的不确定性，阐述不确定性的来源与定量研究的进展，并总结了目前研究存在的问题。How to understand and carry out quantitative analysis on the uncertainty in water environmental mathematical models has developed a hot and cutting-edge research topic. Based on the introduction of the causes for uncertainty in water environmental models, the quantitative methods and its main contents were reviewed. Finally some problems on uncertainties study in water environmental modeling were put forward.

关 键 词：水环境模型 不确定性 定量分析 

分 类 号：X11[环境科学与工程—环境科学]