决策过程中错误规避的自信心模型  

SCM of Eliminating Errors in Decision Making Processes

作　　者：黄海[1] 李鹏[2] 崔晨[3] 

机构地区：[1]西安交通大学经济与金融学院,陕西西安710061 [2]西安邮电学院经贸系,陕西西安710061 [3]西北大学经济管理学院,陕西西安710049

出　　处：《财经理论与实践》2010年第2期21-24,44,共5页The Theory and Practice of Finance and Economics

摘　　要：一般而言,错误是由系统内部的不精确性所致,能否避免决策过程中的错误,首先应分析人类决策过程,从中找出错误产生的环节及错误的结构,过度信心容易引发认知型错误,可以通过建立适当的自信心模型规避决策过程中错误。This paper first analyzes the structure of errors and the relations of their different types. It then gives a review of the literatures and models which are related to the idea of overconfidence and emphasizes the differences between its two kinds of definitions. Applications of this question can finally be stretched to the disciplines of financial market, management executions.

关 键 词：错误 过度信心 自信心模型(SCM) 

分 类 号：F272[经济管理—企业管理]