建设项目动态联盟投标风险评价研究  

Research on the bidding risk evaluation of dynamic alliance for construction projects

作　　者：刘雷[1] 

机构地区：[1]南京审计学院,江苏南京210029

出　　处：《科研管理》2010年第2期154-161,共8页Science Research Management

基　　金：国家自然科学基金:考虑影响因素交互作用和能源回弹效应的能效政策分析模型(70873058);2009.1-2011.12;国家自然科学基金:基于数据质量的审计风险控制模型研究(70571038);2006.1-2008.12

摘　　要：建设项目动态联盟投标决策是一个多风险因素综合评价过程,既要考虑联盟自身实力、业主情况,又要考虑项目情况及竞争情况。通过查阅国内外公开发表的相关文献和对我国建设市场现状的调查研究,获得专家经验,以此为基础设计了建设项目动态联盟投标风险评价的指标体系。考虑指标间的相互影响与制约关系,以及专家的主观评价存在非线性的特点,研究了应用网络分析法进行评价的可行性,并阐述了其应用步骤。案例分析表明,网络分析法可以对多个项目进行投标风险评估排序,并且计算简单,可适用于多种综合评价问题。Bidding decision-making of dynamic alliance of construction projects is a comprehensive evaluation process; it consists of many risk factors that need considering not only the strength of the dynamic alliance and the conditions of owner,but also the conditions of candidate projects and competition. By consulting related literatures published in the public at home and abroad and investigating the present situation of the construction market in China,expert knowledge is acquired,and based on which a index system is built to evaluate bidding risk factors of dynamic alliance of construction projects. Considering the fact that there is a mutually influencing and constraint relation among indexes and expert subjective evaluations often have nonlinear characteristics,the feasibility for using an Analytic Network Processl（ANP） method for the evaluation is researched and the application steps are specified. Case studies prove that ANP method can be used to rank many projects via bidding risk evaluation,the computation is simple,and it is applicable to manifold comprehensive evaluations.

关 键 词：建设项目动态联盟 投标决策 风险评价 网络分析法 

分 类 号：F272[经济管理—企业管理]