双权值法的企业管理效率预测  

Forecast Method of Enterprise Management Efficiency on Double Weights

作　　者：任静[1] 熊义杰[1] 

机构地区：[1]西安理工大学经济与管理学院,西安710048

出　　处：《西安工业大学学报》2010年第2期199-204,共6页Journal of Xi’an Technological University

基　　金：国家自然基金(70673080)

摘　　要：针对多指标决策中企业管理效率的预测问题,依据不同指标的样本特征建立相应的指标样本曲线趋势预测模型.对不同时间样本数据的重要性差异,利用模糊自适应方法确定指标样本数据时间权值.采用可拓层次分析法(Extension Analytic Hierarchy Process,EAHP)计算管理效率指标计量权值.将指标计量权值向量与管理效率特征指标预测样本向量为依据给出了管理效率的计量方法.通过双权值法的研究,实现了对管理效率的预测计量,从而为有效管理提供决策信息.The problem of predicting management efficiency, which is a prerequisite for effective management,is investigated. Based on the analysis of different forecast methods, a forecast model of enterprise management efficiency is established. Firstly, index system from the data of financial affairs is set and the different trend forecast models aimed at the different sample features are established, also index forecast weights by fuzzy adaptive method are determined. Then, the subjective and objective weights of management efficiency index are determined using extension analytic hierarchy process theory. Management efficiency measuring method is given based on the index measuring weight vector and the predicting sample vector with management efficiency characteristics. Through the double weights method,the forecast measurement of management efficiency can be obtained. The measurement value may provide the decision information for managers to implement effective management.

关 键 词：管理效率 计量方法 模型 可拓层次分析法 

分 类 号：F272[经济管理—企业管理]