城市发展过程中用水量预测研究  

Prediction of Urban Water Consumption in the Development of Cities

作　　者：李云峰[1] 冯小铭[1] 张泰丽[1] 姜月华[1] 

机构地区：[1]南京地质矿产研究所,南京210016

出　　处：《中国农村水利水电》2010年第5期11-13,17,共4页China Rural Water and Hydropower

基　　金：国土资源大调查项目(1212010914006)

摘　　要：城市化程度的不断提高使得城市对资源环境的需求越来越多,对资源环境的压力也越来越大,尤其是对作为城市物质基础的水资源的压力越来越大。因此需要对城市经济发展过程中城市发展与城市用水的关系进行更进一步的研究。用衡量城市经济发展的4个指标组成一个向量-Ψ来定量描述城市化,并利用神经网络建立了向量-Ψ与城市用水量Q的数量关系,然后根据城市经济发展目标预测相应城市规模条件下城市用水量,为城市规划提供依据。The pressure of the demand for resources and the environment is continuously growing with the improvement of urbanized cities.Then further research on the relationship between urban development and water consumption needs to be carried out,.In this paper,the four indicators used to measure the development of the city economy can make up a vector Ψ-to describe urbanization.A quantitative relationship between and urban water consumption Q is established by the neural networks.According to the city＇s goal goal of economic development,the urban water consumption is predicted under the appropriate city scale conditions and some evidence is provided.for urban planning.

关 键 词：城市化 用水量 神经网络 

分 类 号：TU984[建筑科学—城市规划与设计]