不同生命周期阶段的企业风险传导强度模型  

Risk Conductive Intensity Models Based on Risk Life Cycle

作　　者：叶厚元[1] 洪菲[2] 

机构地区：[1]武汉理工大学管理学院,湖北武汉430070 [2]江汉大学商学院,湖北武汉430056

出　　处：《武汉理工大学学报（信息与管理工程版）》2010年第3期437-441,共5页Journal of Wuhan University of Technology：Information & Management Engineering

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(70472027)

摘　　要：将风险作为一个有机生命体看待,总结不同生命周期阶段上的风险传导现象,首次提出了风险的显性传导与隐性传导、收敛型与发散型风险传导概念,归纳了风险传导的增强模型、稳定模型、衰退模型及其特征。将风险划分为诞生、成长、成熟、衰退等阶段,可以更好地解释风险传导的复杂现象。通过对其周期阶段的划分,可以为企业提供不同时期防范风险传导的手段与措施,可以低成本高效率地释放风险、阻隔风险传导,提升对风险传导规律的认识水平。Facing with world economic depression,enterprises are suffering from multi-type risks conduction.The life-cycle theory was introduced into risk research area and the risk conductive stage characteristics were summed up.Then the complex phenomenon of the risk conduction could be explained.Several risk conductive intensity models were established and their characteristics were investigated.They were enhancement model,decline model,divergence model and convergent model.Risk was divided into birth stage,growth stage,mature stage and decline stage.Different methods and measures were provided for different risk stages respectively.High efficiency in low cost could then be achieved to reduce risks and block risk conduction.The law of risk conduction could be much more clearly understood through the provided methods.

关 键 词：风险生命周期 风险传导 风险模型 

分 类 号：F270[经济管理—企业管理]