基于系统动力学的节水型城市激励机制研究  

Research on Incentive Mechanism of Water-saving Cities Based on System Dynamics

作　　者：何力[1] 刘丹[1] 黄薇[1] 

机构地区：[1]长江科学院水资源综合利用研究所,武汉430010

出　　处：《长江科学院院报》2010年第6期10-13,22,共5页Journal of Changjiang River Scientific Research Institute

基　　金：国家"十一五"科技支撑计划重大项目:东;中线一期工程沿线区域生态影响评估技术研究(2006BAB04A15);水利部江湖治理与防洪重点实验室开放基金资助项目(R2007-04)

摘　　要：随着供用水矛盾的日益突出,城市大量挤占农村和生态环境用水,从缓解供用水矛盾、改善生态环境的角度看,开展节水型城市建设势在必行。利用系统动力学方法仿真模拟天津市2005-2030年在基本方案、产业结构调整、水价调控、定额调整、城市非常规水源利用、综合节水等不同模式下的水资源供需状况,以定量分析方法确定各激励机制的节水效应,为进一步完善天津市节水型城市建设管理模式提供参考。With the contradictions of water use and supply are increasingly intensified,a large quantity of water for the ecological environment and agriculture are crowded out by urban.For easing the water conflicts and improving the ecological environment,to carry out water-saving city construction is imperative.In this paper,the integrated water resources supply and demand of Tianjin in 2005-2030 are simulated under different modes of the basic program,industrial reconstruction,price control,quota adjustment and urban non-conventional water sources utilization.The effect of water-saving incentive mechanism is analyzed quantitatively.The result obtained by the paper may provide a reference for further improving the city construction and management of water-saving city.

关 键 词：系统动力学 节水型城市 激励机制 仿真模拟 

分 类 号：TV213.4[水利工程—水文学及水资源]