中长期负荷预测的傅里叶级数残差修正模型  

Mid- and Long Term Load Forecasting Using Fourier Series Residual Correction

作　　者：胡海琴[1] 蒋传文[2] 蔡宏欣 

机构地区：[1]黄山供电公司,安徽黄山245000 [2]上海交通大学,上海200002

出　　处：《安徽电力》2010年第2期39-41,共3页Anhui Electric Power

摘　　要：为了提高电网中长期负荷预测精度,在灰色预测的基础上建立傅里叶级数残差修正模型,对中长期电力负荷进行预测,并以黄山电网负荷数据为例进行了分析比较,结果表明模型能提高预测精度。On the basis of grey model, the residual correction model of Fourier series is presented in this paper to improve the precision of medium- and long-term power load forecasting. The proposed model is verified by power load data of Huangshan power grid, thus it is proved that the proposed model possesses high forecasting accuracy.

关 键 词：电网 中长期负荷预测 灰色模型 傅里叶级数 残差修正模型 

分 类 号：TM715[电气工程—电力系统及自动化]