黑龙江省近20年耕地变化及社会经济驱动力分析  

Change process of cultivated land and its socio-economical driving forces analysis in Heilongjiang Province China during 1985-2008

作　　者：董隽[1,2] 王丹[1] 臧淑英[2] 

机构地区：[1]哈尔滨学院地理系,哈尔滨150086 [2]哈尔滨师范大学地理科学学院,哈尔滨150008

出　　处：《东北农业大学学报》2010年第6期79-84,共6页Journal of Northeast Agricultural University

基　　金：国家自然科学基金面上项目(40771195);黑龙江省自然资金项目(C2007-17)

摘　　要：探讨黑龙江省耕地变化的社会经济驱动力,找出驱动耕地变化的主导因素,为科学保护现有耕地资源提供依据和参考,文章在定量分析1985年、1999年和2008年黑龙江省耕地覆盖特征的基础上,运用多元线性回归的方法,对耕地变化的社会驱动机制进行了分析。结果表明,经济发展水平、农业投入、城市化水平是黑龙江省耕地变化的主要驱动因素,决定着耕地生态系统演替的总体趋势。The study aimed to discuss the socio-economical driving force mechanism of cultivated land change in Heilongjiang Province, China and discover the leading factors actuating the cultivated land,so as to provide the foundation and the reference for protecting the existing cultivated land scientifically and effectively. Based on the analysis of the cultivated land use/cover change information of 1985, 1999 and 2008, The research used the multiple linear regression analysis, which was a kind of quantitative analysis, to choose the dominant factors affecting the change of cultivated land in Heilongjiang Province.The results showed that the level of economic development, agricultural inputs, the level of urbanization was the main actuating factor causing cultivated land change in Heilongjiang Province, and the main driving factors in determining land ecosystems development.

关 键 词：土地利用/土地覆盖 驱动力 耕地变化 黑龙江省 

分 类 号：F321.1[经济管理—产业经济]