辽宁产业投资与经济增长关系的实证研究  

Empirical study on relationship between industrial investment and economic growth in Liaoning Province

作　　者：朱天星[1,2] 高丽峰[1] 杨中原[3] 国晓彤[4] 

机构地区：[1]沈阳工业大学经济学院,沈阳110870 [2]大连理工大学博士后科研流动站,辽宁大连116021 [3]中国社会科学院金融研究所,北京100081 [4]同济大学经济与管理学院,上海201084

出　　处：《沈阳工业大学学报（社会科学版）》2010年第3期240-243,共4页Journal of Shenyang University of Technology(Social Sciences)

基　　金：辽宁省发展改革委员会课题(20095719)

摘　　要：产业投资对产业结构形成以及经济增长具有积极作用,深入研究辽宁产业投资与经济增长的关系,对其产业结构调整具有重要意义。以1985—2008年的经济统计数据为依据,对辽宁投资总量和投资结构对经济的影响及其关联程度进行实证分析。研究结果表明:政府投资对经济有很强的拉动作用,对私人投资有一定的挤出效应;第二产业投资与各产业产值有很强的关联作用,第三产业产值对各产业投资的依存度较高,辽宁产业投资应该注重增强第三产业的发展能力和发展后劲。Industrial investment has positive effect on the formation of industrial structure and economic growth. To thoroughly study the relationship between industrial investment and economic growth in Liaoning Province is of great significance to the adjustment of industrial structure of it. According to the economic statistical data from 1985 to 2008,empirical analysis is done of the influences of gross investment and investment structure on economic growth and on their correlative degree. The research results show that governmental investment can strongly stimulate economic growth,and has certain extrusion effect on private investment; there exists strong correlation between the investment of secondary industry and the production value of each industry,and higher dependence of the production value of the third industry on investment of each industry. The industrial investment of Liaoning Province should pay attention to enhance the developing capability and developing sustainability of the third industry.

关 键 词：产业结构 产业投资 投资总量 投资结构 经济增长 挤出效应 灰色关联度 辽宁省 实证研究 

分 类 号：F203[经济管理—国民经济] F403