区域人口均衡:主体功能区规划的关键  

Regional Population Equrilibrium:Key Factor in Principal Function Areas Planning

作　　者：张耀军[1] 陈伟[2] 张颖[2] 

机构地区：[1]中国人民大学人口与发展研究中心 [2]北京师范大学地理学与遥感科学学院

出　　处：《人口研究》2010年第4期8-19,共12页Population Research

基　　金：国家"十二五"人口发展战略课题;中国人民大学科研基金项目(07XNA021)资助

摘　　要：人口均衡发展是主体功能区规划顺利实现的最关键因素。利用ArcGIS软件为分析工具,以2000年第五次人口普查数据为基础,以主体功能区内的县为分析单位,结果表明:主体功能区中人口规模重点开发区最大,人口密度重点、优化开发区最高;主体功能区人口素质优化开发区最高,限制开发区最低;人口年龄结构以优化开发区劳动年龄人口比例最高。进一步分析发现,人口迁移方向与主体功能区规划有冲突,人口科技文化素质与主体功能区建设有差距,大量劳动年龄人口聚集在优化开发区与规划初衷相背离。只有不同类型的主体功能区实施不同的人口和产业政策,并注重优势互补;人口政策与其他公共政策多管齐下,相互协调;充分把握主体功能区规划过程中的人口再分布规律,未雨绸缪,才能促进区域人口均衡的实现,促进主体功能区规划的顺利实施。Based on ArcGIS as analytical tools and the 2000 census data,this research is carried out in county units. The result indicates that among principal function areas,key development zones have the highest population size while optimized key development zones the highest population density. Compared with limited development zones of lowest population quality,optimized development zones show highest population quality. As for age structure,optimized development zones reveal highest proportion of labor population. Further analysis demostrates that population migration does not follow the planning of principal function Areas. Current technical and cultural development may still not meet the requirement of principal function Areas planning. A large number of labors assemble in optimized development zones,which deviates from principal function Areas planning. In order to achieve regional population equilibrium,proper population and industrial policy should be implemented in different principal function Areas with consideration of regional advantadges. In addition,population policy should coordinate with other public policy.

关 键 词：主体功能区 人口均衡 区域 

分 类 号：C964.2[经济管理—人力资源管理]