系统决策中专家意见集成模型研究  

Research on expert idea integration model for HWMSESMS

作　　者：杨晓段[1] 刘曙云[1] 李元左[1] 

机构地区：[1]装备指挥技术学院基础部,北京101416

出　　处：《科学决策》2010年第8期59-64,共6页Scientific Decision Making

摘　　要：本文对群决策中专家意见集成的方法进行研究。在德尔菲法基础上,建立了一种优化搜索机制。以专家一次性给出的原始意见为基础,构建专家意见集成的优化搜索模型,利用计算机的信息处理能力求解,获得既满足一致性要求,又具有一定可信度指标的结论。Integrated method carries out the main body of this article on the expert idea in group decision-making studying. It have built one kind of optimization searching for mechanism base on Delphi method; take that the expert gives primitive taking place an idea for one time merely as basis ,structure the integrated optimization searching model expert opinions; make use of the computer information processing ability to find the solution ,gain the conclusion both satisfy compatibility,and have the confidence index.

关 键 词：综合集成 网络 复杂性 德尔菲法 

分 类 号：E922[军事—军事装备学] E917[兵器科学与技术—武器系统与运用工程]