关于铁路运输景气警告指标的研究  

Research on Prosperous Warning Indices of Railway Transportation

作　　者：张国华[1] 胡思继[1] 张鹏辉[1] 张跃玲[2] 王存智[2] 

机构地区：[1]北方交通大学交通运输学院 [2]铁道部

出　　处：《北方交通大学学报》1999年第3期62-66,共5页Journal of Northern Jiaotong University

摘　　要：利用现代统计学的分析方法，提出了反映铁路运输宏观景气状况的警告指标，给出了反映铁路运输景气发展正常与否的重要标志和临界区间，以此来评价铁路运输景气运行的冷热程度和正常与否。On the basis of modern statistics, we propose a method of prosperous warning indices in railway transportation, to bring up the important signal and critical point which can reflect when the market progress of the railway transportation is normal;to evaluate railway transportation prosperous status and analyze railway transportation prosperous normality;to disclosure common relationship among all kinds of elements of railway transportation prosperity and internal law of railway transportation prosperous progress.

关 键 词：景气信号 景气评分 景气区间 警告指标 铁路运输 

分 类 号：F532.6[经济管理—产业经济]