对世界优秀手球队制胜规律的研究——兼探讨我国男子、女子手球队的优、劣势  

Research on the Winning Law of the World Elite Handball teams——Investigation on Advantage and Disadvantage of Chinese Men and Women Handball Team

作　　者：王珽珽[1] 杜少武[1] 樊谦[1] 

机构地区：[1]江西师范大学体育学院,江西南昌330027

出　　处：《中国体育科技》2010年第5期38-46,共9页China Sport Science and Technology

摘　　要：运用文献资料调研、数理统计以及对比分析等方法,对第29届北京奥运会男、女手球项目比赛的38项技术统计数据进行比较与分析,其目的是探索手球项目的制胜因素以及对我国该项目发展的启示。研究结果表明:1)世界手球项目比赛胜、负影响最大的关键性因素有:射门技术指标、突破配合、犯规技术指标以及门将技术指标四大方面,其中,男子手球项目上:"射门"方面有10项,"突破配合"方面有4项,犯规方面有1项,"门将"方面有6项;女子手球项目上:"射门"方面有7项,"突破配合"方面有6项,"犯规"方面有1项,"门将"方面有7项。2)经综合分析可知,我国男子手球队与世界整体水平相比,劣势指标中,差距较大的有14项(P<0.01或P<0.05),差距较小的有16项(P>0.05)优势指标有8项(除罚出场2min为负,其他指标均值差为正),劣势指标项占78.95%,表明我国男子手球队的整体竞技实力与世界强队整体水平还有很大的一段差距。3)经综合分析可知,我国女子手球队与世界整体水平相比下,劣势指标中,差距较大的有15项(P<0.01或P<0.05),差距较小的有15项(P>0.05),优势指标有8项(除罚出场2min为负,其他指标均值差为正),劣势指标项占78.95%,表明我国女子手球队的整体竞技实力与世界强队还有一定的差距。研究认为,我国男子与女子手球队的整体水平还处于世界二、三流水平上。By using the methods of literature review,mathematical statistics and comparative analysis,this paper makes comparative analysis on 38 basic statistical data of men and women handball match in 29th Beijing Olympic Games.The aim is to explore the men and women handball match winning factors and the development of handball sport in China.The result shows that：1） the biggest negative factors of winning and losing in world handball competition have the shooting technique,breakthrough technology,technical fouls and goalkeeper technology.Men’s handball items：the respect of shooting technique has 10 indicator,the respect of breakthrough technology has 4 indicator,the respect of fouls technology has 1 indicators and the respect of goalkeeper technology has 6 indicators.Women’s handball items：the respect of shooting technique has 7 indicators,the respect of breakthrough technology has 6 indicators,the respect of fouls technology has 1 indicators and the respect of goalkeeper technology has 7 indicators;2） Comprehensive analysis shows,the Chinese men handball team compared with the world powers that the respect of disadvantages have 30 indicators （P0.01,P0.05 or P0.05） and the respect of advantages have 8 indicators,indicators of disadvantage accounted for 78.95%.It shows that the overall competitive strength of Chinese men’s handball team has great difference with the overall level of the world.3） Comprehensive analysis shows,Chinese women’s handball team compared with the world powers that the respect of disadvantages have 30 indicators （P0.01,P0.05 or P0.05） and the respect of advantages have 8 indicators,indicators of disadvantage accounted for 78.95%.It shows that the overall competitive strength of Chinese women’s handball team has great difference with the overall level of the world’s.Research shows that the overall level of Chinese men’s and women’s handball team is in the middle level of the world.

关 键 词：世界 手球 制胜规律 中国队 优势 劣势 探讨 

分 类 号：G844[文化科学—体育训练]