超大型船舶受限水域航行风险评价  

Navigation Risk Assessment of VLCC in Restricted Waters

作　　者：汤国杰[1] 

机构地区：[1]南通航运职业技术学院,江苏南通226010

出　　处：《中国航海》2010年第3期105-108,共4页Navigation of China

摘　　要：鉴于超大型船舶在受限水域航行风险评价不确定性的特点,运用证据理论建立了超大型船舶受限水域航行的风险评价指标体系和风险评价模型,并将其运用在RAMBLER CHANNEL评价中,运用大型船舶操纵模拟器进行了超大型船舶在RAMBLER CHANNEL模拟航行操纵试验,结果表明评价模型具有实用价值。In view of inconsistency of VLCC navigation risk assessment in restricted water, a D-S assessment model and risk assessment indicator system,by adopting theory of evidential reasoning,is established for the navigation risk quantitative evaluation.The model has been used for the assessment of RAMBLER CHANNEL,and navigation simulation of VLCC in this channel is also carried out on a large-scale navigation simulator.The results show that this evaluation model has practical value for use.

关 键 词：水路运输 超大型船舶 受限水域 证据理论 风险评价 

分 类 号：U676.1[交通运输工程—船舶及航道工程]