隔河岩水库入库径流随机模拟研究  

Inflow Stochastic Simulation Research on the Geheyan Reservoir

作　　者：王世策[1] 

机构地区：[1]福建水利电力职业技术学院教务处,福建永安366000

出　　处：《水利科技与经济》2010年第10期1167-1169,共3页Water Conservancy Science and Technology and Economy

摘　　要：根据实测日流量过程资料分析清江流域的洪水统计特征和自相关结构,分别用AR模型和典型解集模型进行随机模拟,并对模拟结果进行分析与检验,经研究认为典型解集模型对隔河岩水库入库径流模拟效果相对较好。Based on daily inflow of the Qingjiang River,by analyzing statistical characteristics of floods and its auto-correlation structure,the AR Model and disaggregation model were used in inflow stochastic simulation.After analyzing and testing to the simulation results,the disaggregation model was proved to be better in inflow stochastic simulation of the Geheyan reservoir.

关 键 词：随机模拟 AR模型 解集模型 

分 类 号：P333.6[天文地球—水文科学]