某可编程电子时间引信弹毁伤概率计算  

The Damage Probability Calculation of a Programmable Electronic Time Fuze Bomb

作　　者：施兵[1] 智小琦[1] 王文甲[1] 王霞[2] 

机构地区：[1]中北大学机电工程学院,太原030051 [2]海南师范大学,海口571127

出　　处：《弹箭与制导学报》2010年第5期103-106,共4页Journal of Projectiles,Rockets,Missiles and Guidance

摘　　要：文中建立了可编程电子引信时间弹对空中目标毁伤概率的计算模型,采用数学建模方法计算出可编程电子引信时间弹对ARM导弹的毁伤概率,分析了影响毁伤概率的主要因素,为后期可编程电子时间引信弹设计提供理论支持和技术储备。计算结果表明:正面攻击时的毁伤概率大于侧面攻击时的毁伤概率,而毁伤概率与航程存在一最优组合。因此,弹目相对速度比攻击方位对条件毁伤概率影响更大,当射程在1～2km时,可对ARM导弹达到0.4以上的毁伤概率。In this paper, the probability calculation model that a programmable electronic fuse time bomb damages the target in air was set up the mathematical modeling methods were used for calculating the probability that programmable electronic fuse time bomb damages the ARM missile. The main factors affecting the probability of damage were analyzed for the programmable elec- tronic time fuse post-bomb design to provide theoretical support and technical reserves. The calculation result shows the frontal.attack has greater damage probability than the side attaek there is optimal combination between the damage probability and the voyage. Therefore, relative velocity between bomb and target has greater impact on conditions damage probability than orientation of attacks, while the range changes from lkm to 2km, the probability of damage on the ARM missile is more than 0. 4.

关 键 词：弹药 目标易损性 蒙特卡洛法 毁伤概率 

分 类 号：TJ41[兵器科学与技术—火炮、自动武器与弹药工程]