中国煤炭价格指数的B-J方法预测分析  

B-J Prediction Analysis on Coal Price Index in China

作　　者：李仲辉[1] 李剑[1] 李华[1] 

机构地区：[1]鲍店煤矿,山东邹城273513

出　　处：《煤矿现代化》2011年第1期11-13,共3页Coal Mine Modernization

摘　　要：煤炭作为重要的战略资源,在我国的经济发展中占有举足轻重的地位。而煤炭价格问题,已成为关系到国计民生的深层次问题,同时也制约着煤炭工业的健康发展。本论文在理论分析和实证分析相结合的基础上,利用Eviews6.0统计软件,采用B-J方法建立煤炭价格指数预测模型,为我国相关产业的价格预测具有较好的指导意义和参考价值。Coal plays a vital role in China＇s economic development as an important strategic resource.It is the price of coal that has become a deep-rooted problem which related to the national welfare and the people＇s livelihood,and also restricts the development of the coal industry.Based on the combination of the theoretical analysis and empirical analysis,the author uses statistical software,Eviews6.0,to build coal price index prediction model by the method of B-J.The result of this paper has better guidance and reference value for the price prediction of some industries alike in our country.

关 键 词：价格指数 预测 ARMA模型 B-J方法 时间序列 

分 类 号：F416.21[经济管理—产业经济]