公路网路段交通量预测方法研究  

Study on Traffic Forecast Method for Highway Network Sections

作　　者：裴玉龙[1] 陈洪仁[1] 刘洋[1] 

机构地区：[1]哈尔滨建筑大学交通学院,黑龙江哈尔滨150008

出　　处：《公路交通科技》1999年第3期40-44,56,共6页Journal of Highway and Transportation Research and Development

摘　　要：介绍公路网路段交通量一种新的预测方法。该方法以通过交通分配模型由路段交通量推算 Ｏ Ｄ 量为基本交通分析手段， 应用回归分析建立各分区经济指标与出行产生量之间的关系， 最后根据经济指标的规划值预测未来规划期的公路网路段交通量。This paper introduces a new method for traffic forecast for highway network sections based on traffic assignment model and OD analysis,as well as regression analysis of the relations between the sub?regional economic indicators and the tra?vel demand. Therefore the traffic volume by sections of the highway network could be forecast based on the expected economic indicators.

关 键 词：公路网 路段 交通量 预测 交通分配 

分 类 号：U491.113[交通运输工程—交通运输规划与管理]