城镇燃气各类用户用气量预测方法研究  

Research on Forecasting Methods of Gas Consumption of Different City Gas Consumers

作　　者：王引平 吴华 杨军 

机构地区：[1]中山市规划设计院,广东中山528403 [2]中山港华燃气有限公司,广东中山528403

出　　处：《煤气与热力》2011年第5期7-11,共5页Gas & Heat

摘　　要：阐述了城镇燃气各类用户用气量的预测方法,介绍了因果分析法在城镇燃气用气量预测中的应用,结合某地区燃气负荷数据进行了模拟预测,预测结果达到要求。The forecasting methods of gas consumption of different city gas consumers are described. The application of causal analysis method in forecasting city gas consumption is introduced. The simulation and forecasting are performed with the gas load data in a region, and the forecasting result meets the requirement.

关 键 词：燃气用气量预测 负荷预测 一元线性回归 弹性系数 用气量指标 

分 类 号：TU996[建筑科学—供热、供燃气、通风及空调工程]