电网空调负荷计算及预测  

Calculation and Prediction for Air-conditioning Load of Power Grid

作　　者：贺春光[1] 段晓波[1] 张晶[2] 

机构地区：[1]河北省电力研究院,石家庄050021 [2]河北省电力公司,石家庄050021

出　　处：《河北电力技术》2011年第2期21-23,共3页Hebei Electric Power

摘　　要：结合河北省南部电网空调负荷特性,以2009年数据为例,通过最大负荷比较法和基准负荷比较法进行计算,取二者平均值确定空调负荷最大值,并根据2005-2009年空调负荷变化趋势预测2010年空调负荷,结果表明预测数据准确可靠。According to the load data of HeBei Province in 2009,This paper uses the mean value of the two methods-maximum load method and based load method to fix the air-conditioning load by analyzing the power load characteristics and combined with composition of Hebei Southern power grid.This paper also predicts the 2010＇s air-conditioning load by analyzing the tendency of data from 2005 to 2009.The investigation result proves the application of the method can improve the accuracy of load forecasting.The method is conducive to taking out more effective measure for the demand side management and the power shortage in summer.

关 键 词：空调负荷 负荷预测 电力需求侧管理 最大负荷 基准负荷 

分 类 号：TM732[电气工程—电力系统及自动化]