FSA专家评价一致度衡量模型及其改进  

Consistent degree measurement model for specialists' judgement and its improvement in FSA

作　　者：鲍君忠[1] 黄通涵 刘正江[1] 王利东[3] 王荫樑[1] 

机构地区：[1]大连海事大学航海学院 [2]湛江海事局,广东湛江524000 [3]大连海事大学数学系,辽宁大连116026

出　　处：《大连海事大学学报》2011年第2期47-50,共4页Journal of Dalian Maritime University

摘　　要：为解决FSA导则建议的专家评价一致度衡量模型不能对参与评价的专家进行筛选及提高一致度的问题,提出将传递熵模型与专家评价一致度衡量模型相结合,借助于传递熵模型的筛选作用,改善专家评价一致度的方法.算例结果表明,传递熵模型具有实用性和可操作性,传递熵模型与专家评价一致度衡量模型联合使用可提高专家评价的一致度.The model of consistent degree measurement model established in FSA guidelines can not select specialists and improve the concordance coefficient.To solve the above problem,the model combining entropy with consistent degree measurement model for specialists＇ judgement was proposed,which took advantage of the screening function of entropy model to improve the concordance coefficient of specialists＇ judgement.Case study shows that the feasibility and efficiency of the proposed model.Moreover,the combination of transfer entropy model with consistent degree measurement model for specialists＇ judgement can improve the concordance coefficient of specialists＇ judgement.

关 键 词：综合安全评估(FSA) 衡量模型 一致度 传递熵 

分 类 号：U692[交通运输工程—港口、海岸及近海工程]