企业颠覆性技术路线图制定研究  

Research on Corporate Roadmapping of Disruptive Technologies

作　　者：卢光松[1] 卢平[2] 

机构地区：[1]安徽建筑工业学院管理学院,安徽合肥230022 [2]安徽建筑工业学院科技处,安徽合肥230022

出　　处：《科技进步与对策》2011年第11期81-86,共6页Science & Technology Progress and Policy

基　　金：安徽省软科学项目(09030503062);安徽高校省级自然科学研究重点项目(KJ2010A062)

摘　　要：为分析潜在颠覆性技术的识别与路线图制定,首先简要评述了颠覆性技术路线图制定方法的研究进展,然后讨论了如何在企业层次系统性地识别潜在颠覆性技术选项,描述了如何评价这些技术选项的潜在颠覆性和对企业的战略重要性。最后,着重于颠覆性技术与持续性技术之间的根本性差异,深入分析了制定颠覆性技术路线图需要注意的诸如利益关联者、技术、市场、基础设施、路径依赖与路径创造等多方面问题。In order to analyze the identification and roadmapping of potential disruptive technologies,this paper firstly reviewed the state of the art of roadmapping approaches for disruptive technologies,then discussed how to systematically identify candidate potential disruptive technology alternatives at a firm level,and described how to evaluate the technology alternatives＇ potential disruptiveness and their strategic importance to the firm.Finally,by focusing on the fundamental differences between disruptive and sustaining technologies,this paper deliberated the multiple aspects claiming attention in roadmapping disruptive technologies,which are stakeholders,technology,market,infrastructure,path dependency and path creation.

关 键 词：技术路线图 颠覆性技术 持续性技术 利益关联者 路径依赖 路径创造 

分 类 号：F273.1[经济管理—企业管理]