膀胱移行细胞癌复发预测的研究  

The research of recurrence risk in patients with transitional cell carcinoma of bladder

作　　者：杨晓红[1] 范芹[2] 柳韡[1] 

机构地区：[1]泰山医学院,山东泰安271000 [2]泰山医学院附属泰山医院小儿科,山东泰安271000

出　　处：《泰山医学院学报》2011年第5期366-367,共2页Journal of Taishan Medical College

摘　　要：目的应用已建立的膀胱移行细胞癌手术治疗后复发预测的数学模型,预测肿瘤的复发,从而指导临床工作。方法采集泰安市中心医院泌尿外科2005～2008年度治疗的膀胱移行细胞癌的临床病例共76例,将复发相关危险因素数量化,应用预后指数PI的计算公式进行复发风险值计算,取界值为2.0进行预测分析。结果计算预测值PI,将预测结果与实际结果比较,其灵敏度、特异度、及符合率分别为82.4%、72%、78.9%,两者一致性较好。结论根据上述模型可对移行细胞癌患者的预后做出较为准确的评价。Objective： To study recurrence risk with the model and to evaluate the prognosis in patients with bladder cancer we established in 2003.Methods： There were 76 patients with transitional cell carcinoma treated by operation from 2005 to 2008 in Department of Urology,Taian City Central Hospital.Recurrence factors were collected and quantified.Then an analysis on recurrence risk was made by predicting equation,and the predicting values were calculated according to the individual features of patients.These factors included clinical and pathologic figues.Results： The predicting values were calculated according to the individual features of patients.The predicting and actual values were compared,and the sensitivity,specificity and overall concordance were 82.4%,72% and 78.9 % respectively.Conclusion： The evaluation on prognosis can be made quite accurately based on these factors.

关 键 词：膀胱肿瘤 复发 预后指数 

分 类 号：R737.14[医药卫生—肿瘤]