等里程间隔GM(1,1)模型在关角隧道6号斜井涌水量预测中的应用  

Application of Equal Mileage Spacing Model GM(1,1) for Forecasting Water Gush in the No.6 Inclined Shaft of the Guanjiao Tunnel

作　　者：赖明[1] 刘丹[1] 

机构地区：[1]西南交通大学地球科学与环境工程学院,成都610031

出　　处：《现代隧道技术》2011年第5期87-89,96,共4页Modern Tunnelling Technology

基　　金：铁道部科技研究课题(2008G030-B-3)

摘　　要：在原始灰色GM(1,1)模型的基础上,通过运用等间距里程序列的分析方法建立模型,并对关角隧道6号斜井的涌水量进行了模拟预测。经检验,预测结果精度较高,对隧道工程涌水量的短期预测具有较大的实用价值。Based on the primitive gray GM （1,1） model, the water gush prediction in the No.6 inclined shaft ol the Guanjiao tunnel is simulated by the model established and the equal mileage spacing sequence is analyzed. After examination, it is concluded that the prediction precision is high and that the model is practical for short- term prediction of water gush in tunnels.

关 键 词：GM(1.1)模型 隧道 涌水量 预测 

分 类 号：U453.4[建筑科学—桥梁与隧道工程] U456.3[交通运输工程—道路与铁道工程]