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机构地区:[1]吉林大学交通学院,吉林长春130022 [2]浙江大学建筑工程学院,浙江杭州310058
出 处:《西南交通大学学报》2011年第5期853-860,共8页Journal of Southwest Jiaotong University
基 金:国家973计划资助项目(2006CB705505)
摘 要:针对我国正在大力开展高速铁路建设的现状,为了有效应对高速铁路项目对其周边公路交通系统造成的影响,通过分析历史数据的发展规律,结合高速铁路客运方式的特点,提出了指标GDP、人口数量、公路客运量和公路货运量的预测方法.根据这4项指标的预测结果,采用节点重要度法,设计了确定公路枢纽数量的方法和基于聚类分析法的公路枢纽等级划分方法.以长春-吉林高速铁路建设项目为例进行分析得出,吉林省公路枢纽的最佳数量为14~18个,划分为6个国家级枢纽、2个省一级公路枢纽和9个省二级公路枢纽.China devoted major efforts to develop high-speed railways.In order to deal with the impacts on the regional highway system from the project of high-speed railways,methods for forecasting the indexes of GDP,population,highway passenger volume and highway freight volume were put forward according to the characteristics of high-speed rail transportation by analyzing the law of historical data.Based on the forecast results of the four indexes,a method for calculating the quantity of highway hubs was designed using the node importance method,and a method for classifying the highway hubs was designed using the clustering analysis method.The methods above were tested in the example of Changchun-Jilin high-speed railway construction project.The results show that the optimal number of highway hubs in Jilin province should be 14 to 18,classified into 6 national highway hubs,2 provincial level one highway hubs and 9 provincial level two highway hubs.
分 类 号:U491[交通运输工程—交通运输规划与管理]
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