区域城市间住宅价格波动溢出效应的内涵分析  

Analysis on the Connotation of Volatility Spillover Effects in Urban Housing Prices

作　　者：吴伟巍[1] 郑彦璐 李启明[1] 吴非[1] 

机构地区：[1]东南大学建设与房地产研究所,江苏南京210096 [2]华润置地(南京)有限公司,江苏南京210000

出　　处：《城市发展研究》2011年第10期69-73,共5页Urban Development Studies

基　　金：东南大学基本科研业务费"创新基金项目"(3205000501)

摘　　要：为了明确住宅价格波动溢出效应所包含的深层内涵,并为以后的空间计量经济建模数据分析提供理论阐释,通过对波纹效应和波动溢出效应的概念归纳得出住宅价格波动溢出效应的定义,从基础理论支撑、主体关系、客体影响因素和存在环境四个方面构建其理论框架。最后,从城市层级、人口迁移、城市经济基本面和心理预期四个类别进行多层次的内在因果关系分析,得出其完整的形成机理。In order to definitude the connotation of volatility spillover effects in housing prices,and to provide theoretical explanation to the later constituting model and data analysis with spatial econometrics.Then obtain the definition of volatility spillover effects in housing prices by deducting the concept of moiré effect and volatility spillover effects,and build theoretical framework from four aspects which is basic theory,subject relation,object factors and there environment.Finally,analyze the inner cause-and-effect relationship in city level,population migration,urban economic fundamentals and psychological expectation,and conclude with the entire formation mechanism.

关 键 词：住宅价格 波动 溢出效应 形成机理 

分 类 号：F291.1[经济管理—国民经济]