城际高铁在短途客运市场中的竞争力分析  

The Inter-City High-Speed Railway Competitiveness Analysis on Shortrange Passenger Market

作　　者：曹端芝[1] 刘淑娟[1] 

机构地区：[1]兰州交通大学交通运输学院,甘肃兰州730070

出　　处：《交通科技与经济》2011年第6期75-77,共3页Technology & Economy in Areas of Communications

摘　　要：最近几年,京津、京石、沪宁、广深开行的城际列车吸引大批的乘客。以京津城际客运专线为例,运用Logit模型得出影响城际铁路分担率的因素,制定相应的对策,保持和提高铁路在短途客运市场上的竞争力。因此,铁路在稳定与扩大中长途客运市场的前提下,将开发重点转移到城际客运的短途市场是增强铁路竞争力的关键措施。In recent years,Beijing-Tianjin,Beijing-Shijiazhuang,Shanghai-Nanjing,Guangzhou-Shenzhen inter-city trains running attract a large number of passengers.In this paper,take the Beijing-Tianjin inter-city passenger line as an example.by means of surveying Beijing-Tianjin passenger flow,obtained that,after the intercity line＇s opening,Beijing-Tianjin inter-city trains has a very significant sharing rate in Short-distance passenger traffic in Beijing-Tianjin area.At the same time,using logit model also can obtain the influence factors of inter-city rail share rate.So to develop appropriate countermeasures,maintain and improve China＇s railway passenger transport in short-haul passenger market competitiveness.Therefore,in the premise of the long-distance passenger transport market share＇s stability and expansion,shifting the focus to the development of the short-distance intercity passenger market,is a crucial measure to improve the railway passenger market share and can enhance the railway＇s competitiveness.

关 键 词：城际客运专线 短途客流 LOGIT模型 旅客选择 竞争力 

分 类 号：U491[交通运输工程—交通运输规划与管理]