EPC总承包项目综合集成风险管理  

Integrated Risk Management for EPC Projects

作　　者：杨宝臣[1] 陈跃[1] 

机构地区：[1]天津大学管理与经济学部,天津300072

出　　处：《工业工程》2011年第5期52-57,共6页Industrial Engineering Journal

基　　金："十一五"国家科技支撑计划项目(2006BAB08B01);天津大学自主创新基金资助项目

摘　　要：针对设计-采购-施工总承包(EPC)项目不同阶段的风险管理要求,设计了多元、动态的风险管理模块与评价指标体系,构建了EPC项目综合集成风险管理系统;综合运用德尔菲法、模糊层次分析、风险矩阵分析、模糊综合评价模型,构建了定性与定量相集成的风险评价方法;依照最低合理可行原则,设计了EPC项目综合集成风险管理流程。案例研究表明所构建的集成化风险管理方法的有效性,可以为EPC总承包商提供一整套规范、实用的风险管理与决策支持服务。Risk management is an important issue for engineering, procurement, and construction （EPC） projects. In considering the risks at different phases for such projects, dynamic risk management modules and evaluation index systems are presented. Then, an integrated risk evaluation method is proposed by integrating Delphi, fuzzy analytic hierarchy process （FAHP）, risk matrix method, and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model. With this method, risk can be evaluated in both qualitative and quantitative ways. Furthermore, risk management process for EPC projects is given. Based on the proposed method, an integrated risk management system for EPC projects is developed. A case study is presented to show the effectiveness of the proposed method.

关 键 词：设计-采购-施工总承包项目 风险管理 模糊综合评价 

分 类 号：F270.7[经济管理—企业管理]