拟建支线机场通航可行性论证方法  

Demonstration method of proposed feeder airport for navigation feasibility

作　　者：梁志林[1] 马荣国[1] 周明妮[1] 

机构地区：[1]长安大学公路学院,陕西西安710064

出　　处：《长安大学学报（自然科学版）》2011年第6期94-99,共6页Journal of Chang’an University(Natural Science Edition)

基　　金：中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金项目(CHD2011JC030;CHD2009JC092)

摘　　要：为论证拟建支线机场通航年是否有充足客源,从航空旅客吞吐量的角度提出了一种系统的论证方法。比选已有拟建机场旅客吞吐量预测方法,采用基于快速聚类分析的航空分担率模型进行航空分担率预测;在此基础上,结合综合交通客运量预测出通航年机场旅客吞吐量,对比近年来中国新通航支线机场通航年旅客吞吐量占当年全国航空旅客吞吐量的比重,拟建支线机场所占比重不低于已通航机场所占比重的最低水平即可通航;将该方法应用于石嘴山市拟建支线机场通航年客运分析。应用表明:基于通航年旅客吞吐量预测的方法,可以很好地论证拟建支线机场通航的可行性。In order to demonstrate whether there are sufficient passengers in the proposed feeder airport for navigation,a system demonstration method from the perspective of air passenger volume was presented.Comparing the forecasting method of air passenger volume in proposed airport,this paper forecasted the aviation share ratio with aviation share ration model based on rapid cluster analysis,predicted the air passenger volume in navigation year by integrated transport passenger.Contrasting with the proportion of air passenger volume in new feeder airport for navigation and air passenger volume in China,the proportion of proposed feeder airport which is no less than the lowest airport with flights is navigable.This system demonstration method is applied to verify the navigation feasibility of proposed feeder airport in Shizuishan airport.The application shows that the method is good at the demonstration of proposed feeder airport for navigation feasibility.

关 键 词：交通工程 支线机场 旅客吞吐量 航空分担率 聚类分析 

分 类 号：U491.111[交通运输工程—交通运输规划与管理]