我国企业风险监测与预警体系构建  

作　　者：吉宏[1] 

机构地区：[1]江西师范大学商学院

出　　处：《企业经济》2011年第12期48-50,共3页Enterprise Economy

摘　　要：行为资产定价等传统风险监测模型的提出和发展,对企业运用风险管理理论进行风险监测具有重要的指导和推动作用。由于诸多不确定因素的存在,各类风险监测模型均体现出各自所独有的优势及不足,国内企业在实际应用中应认真分析自身所处的内部和外部环境,选择适合自己的方法。具体可基于宏观经济风险、泡沫经济风险、国债风险、外资风险等层面设计相应指标,从企业自身经营环境中获取指标体系中各监测指标的具体数值,进而依据综合评价值对风险的水平与程度进行预警预报。The proposing and developing of risk monitoring model,such as behavior asset pricing,have important guiding and promoting effects for enterprise＇s using risk managing theory to monitor risk.Because of many uncertain factors,all kinds of risk monitoring models reflect their own advantages and disadvantages.Therefore,domestic enterprises should discreetly analyze their internal and external environment in applying these models,and choose the ways appropriate for themselves.Enterprises can design relevant indexes based on levels of macroeconomic risks,bubble economic risks,national debt risks,and foreign capital risks,and acquire all specific numerical value of all monitoring indexs of index systems in operating environment,and then make early warning and forecast the risk level and degree according to comprehensive evaluation.

关 键 词：企业风险 监测与预警 理论基础 指标体系 评价系统 构建 

分 类 号：F272.1[经济管理—企业管理]