灰色预测模型在客运量预测中的应用  

Application of Grey Forecast Model in Passenger Volume Forecast

作　　者：顾央青[1] 

机构地区：[1]宁波职业技术学院,浙江宁波315800

出　　处：《物流科技》2012年第1期112-115,共4页Logistics Sci-Tech

摘　　要：运用灰色理论,根据2000～2009年宁波市客运量数据,建立灰色GM 1,1预测模型并进行预测,结果表明预测精度较高,说明了该方法用于客运量预测的可行性和有效性,并在此基础上对2010～2014年的宁波市客运量作出预测。Based on grey theory, the thesis established grey model GM（1,1） and took a forecasting test according to passenger volume data in Ningbo. The results showed a certain high forecasting precision, and proved the feasibility and effectiveness of this model in forecasting passenger volume. A future Ningbo＇s passenger volume from year 2010 to 2014 is forecasted on the basis of this research as well.

关 键 词：灰色理论 灰色GM(1 1)预测模型 客运量预测 

分 类 号：F224.9[经济管理—国民经济]