中国式分权下的电力需求与经济增长  

Electric Power Demand and Economic Growth under the Background of China-style Decentralization

作　　者：李世尧 

机构地区：[1]浙江省电力建设有限公司,浙江宁波315010

出　　处：《西部论坛》2012年第1期60-66,共7页West Forum

摘　　要：在中国式分权的背景下,出于缓解自身财政压力和政治晋升等动因,地方政府的投资行为会直接或间接地影响区域电力需求。采用系统广义矩估计方法对1999—2010年30个省区的动态面板系统进行估计分析,结果与理论预期相吻合:财政分权、电力需求、市场化都能促进经济增长,各省区的经济增长、第二产业比重、市场化程度、城市化水平显著地影响了电力需求,财政分权、人口、电力耗能指数与电力需求正相关,价格与电力需求负相关;而在不同省区,同一影响因素对电力需求的作用力度不同。Under the background of China-style decentralization,due to easing self financial pressure and political promotion,the investment behaviors of local governments can directly or indirectly affect regional electric power demand.The system GMM is used to estimate and analyze dynamic panel system of 30 provinces and municipalities during 1999—2010,the analysis results coincide with theoretical forecast.The results are that financial decentralization,electric demand and marketization can boost economic growth,that the economic growth,secondary industry proportion,marketization degree and urbanization level of different provinces and municipalities can significantly influence the demand for electric power,that financial decentralization,population and electric power consumption index are positively related to electric power demand,however,price is negatively related to electric power demand,and that the same influential factor has different actions on electric power demand in different provinces and municipalities.

关 键 词：中国式分权 财政分权 地方政府官员 政治晋升 电力体制改革 社会电力需求 经济增长 市场化程度 耗能指数 

分 类 号：F426.61[经济管理—产业经济] F124F224